TLDR
- Bear flag pattern suggests Bitcoin could extend losses toward the $85K–$86K zone.
- Loss of $90K flipped short-term structure bearish with stacked resistance overhead.
- Contracting volume signals consolidation, not strength, within the bearish setup.
- Rising whale accumulation points to long-term confidence despite near-term pressure.
Bitcoin remains under short-term pressure as technical charts warn of downside continuation, while on-chain data signals long-term accumulation. Analysts highlight a bearish flag structure, key resistance failures, and rising whale activity shaping near-term risk. Price action now revolves around whether Bitcoin can defend critical liquidity zones or extend losses toward $85,000.
Bear Flag Structure Keeps Bitcoin Price Under Pressure
According to analyst Gerla, the chart shows a textbook bear flag forming after Bitcoin’s sharp rejection from recent highs. The pattern developed following a strong impulsive sell-off, with price consolidating inside a rising channel. Historically, such structures signal trend continuation rather than reversal.
The chart also highlights the $100,000–$105,000 zone as a major technical inflection point. Former support in this range has flipped into resistance, and price continues to respect it. Bitcoin price has failed to reclaim this zone, reinforcing the prevailing bearish bias.
Volume behavior adds weight to the setup. Trading activity has contracted during consolidation, suggesting fading momentum rather than accumulation. If the pattern resolves lower, the measured move projects a decline toward the $85,000–$86,000 demand zone. Unless resistance is decisively reclaimed, downside risk remains elevated.
Loss of $90K Shifts Short-Term Bitcoin Price Structure
Meanwhile, analyst Ted focused on Bitcoin’s failure to hold the $89,000–$90,000 psychological level. Multiple rejection wicks confirm a strong seller presence at this zone. The breakdown marks a shift in short-term market structure from neutral to bearish.
Several stacked resistance zones now sit above current levels. Ted’s chart highlights supply clusters between $95,000 and $103,000. These zones may cap any near-term recovery attempts and slow bullish momentum. Lower highs continue to form, reinforcing bearish control.
Bitcoin price now trades below a key structural threshold. Ted notes that failure to reclaim $90,000 increases the probability of a liquidity sweep toward $85,000–$86,000. This zone aligns with prior demand and stop-loss concentration. A reaction here could define short-term direction without confirming a broader trend change.
Whale Accumulation Supports Long-Term Bitcoin Price Thesis
In contrast, the chart by analyst Kamran Asghar shifts attention to on-chain fundamentals. The data tracks the realized cap of new Bitcoin whales, which has surged sharply. This rise indicates aggressive accumulation by large holders during the current pullback.
Historically, similar accumulation phases have occurred during periods of market fear or consolidation. Whale buying often precedes major bullish expansions rather than marking cycle tops. The divergence between rising accumulation and falling price suggests strategic positioning by long-term investors.
Despite near-term volatility, this behavior strengthens the broader macro narrative. Sustained whale inflows imply confidence in higher valuations over time. From a structural perspective, accumulation at these levels supports the case for Bitcoin eventually reclaiming six-figure territory once distribution phases conclude.
Kelvin Munene
Kelvin Munene is a crypto and finance journalist with over 5 years of experience in market analysis and expert commentary. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Journalism and Actuarial Science from Mount Kenya University and is known for meticulous research in cryptocurrency, blockchain, and financial markets. His work has been featured in top publications including Coingape, Cryptobasic, MetaNews, Coinedition, and Analytics Insight. Kelvin specializes in uncovering emerging crypto trends and delivering data-driven analyses to help readers make informed decisions. Outside of work, he enjoys chess, traveling, and exploring new adventures.














