TLDR:
- Dogecoin has tested a descending trendline across six consecutive daily candles without breaking below support.
- Analyst Trader Tardigrade warns that current momentum is weak and a volume spike is needed to confirm a breakout.
- Dogecoin’s Number of Days Spent at a Profit has surpassed 1,100 days, marking a first-ever reading for the asset.
- The 1,100-day metric shows most historical holders are at a loss, a level that often precedes long-term accumulation phases.
Dogecoin is drawing attention from analysts as two distinct market signals emerge simultaneously. The asset is holding a key trendline on the daily chart while posting a historic reading on a long-term cycle indicator.
Together, these developments are painting a complex picture for traders watching the market closely. The situation reflects both caution and structural interest in Dogecoin at its current price level.
Trendline Support Remains Intact but Momentum Raises Questions
Dogecoin has tested a descending trendline across six consecutive daily candles. Each test has so far resulted in the price holding above support.
Crypto analyst Trader Tardigrade noted that structure remains technically bullish under these conditions. However, the analyst also pointed out that the current price action appears to be running low on energy.
According to Trader Tardigrade, the move lacks the buyer conviction needed to confirm a genuine breakout. The analyst specifically called for a volume spike and strong conviction candles as confirmation signals.
Without those, the setup is considered more hopeful than reliable. The brakes, as the analyst described, are lightly tapped on any upward momentum.
Volume remains a critical factor in determining whether this trendline holds or breaks. Thin volume during a trendline test often leads to false signals in either direction.
Traders are advised to watch price behavior closely before committing to a directional position. A high-volume candle closing above resistance would carry more weight than multiple low-volume closes.
Until clear confirmation arrives, Dogecoin remains in a wait-and-see zone technically. The trendline holding is a positive sign, but it does not guarantee continuation.
The market requires participation from genuine buyers to shift the current dynamic. That participation has not yet shown up in a measurable way on the chart.
Historical Metric Hits Unprecedented Level for Dogecoin
On the on-chain side, Dogecoin has reached a notable milestone in a long-term cycle metric. Analyst Joao Wedson reported that Dogecoin has now accumulated more than 1,100 historical days where price traded higher than today’s level.
This is the first time the asset has reached this reading. The metric is called the Number of Days Spent at a Profit.
???? DOGE reaches an unprecedented milestone in the indicator
For the first time, Dogecoin has accumulated more than 1,100 days in the past where the price was higher than today’s level.
The Number of Days Spent at a Profit measures how many historical days traded above the… pic.twitter.com/y6NSZiR2Qu
— Joao Wedson (@joao_wedson) February 22, 2026
This indicator measures how many past trading days recorded prices above the current level. A higher reading reflects a longer history of trading at elevated prices compared to now.
It captures the aggregated positioning and memory of holders over time. This is a structural metric, not a short-term signal.
Wedson described the reading as a cycle-level development rather than a day-trading data point. It speaks to where Dogecoin sits relative to its entire price history.
More than 1,100 days of higher historical prices means a large portion of past holders are currently at a loss. That kind of data often precedes a longer-term accumulation phase in similar assets.
The combination of trendline support and this historical metric gives analysts two separate angles to monitor Dogecoin going forward.
